Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: Betting Preview and Analysis

Pick: Under 45.5

Why the Under is the Play

This matchup features two struggling offenses and defenses capable of limiting the scoreboard. Wisconsin had some bright spots against USC, but the offense as a whole is still far from being reliable. On the other side, Purdue made a drastic change, firing its offensive coordinator after a string of poor performances. But mid-season coordinator changes rarely translate into immediate improvements, especially when the offense has been as inefficient as the Boilermakers’.

Wisconsin's Offensive Woes

• Key Injuries: Wisconsin took a big hit with the loss of its top rusher, Chez Mellusi, who opted out for the rest of the season due to injuries. The Badgers already struggled to find rhythm, being held to under 30 points against Western Michigan and South Dakota, and managed just 10 points against Alabama. With their primary offensive weapon sidelined, it’s tough to see where the points will come from.

Purdue’s Offensive Inefficiency

• Coaching Change Fallout: Purdue’s offense has been dismal, scoring 21 points or fewer in each of its last three games. Their lack of production led to the early-season firing of their offensive coordinator, a move that signals desperation rather than a solution. Against a physical Wisconsin defense, don’t expect a sudden turnaround.

Defensive Matchup Favors a Low-Scoring Game

• Stingy Badgers Defense: Wisconsin’s defense has been the backbone of their team, and they’ve kept opponents in check, especially at home. The Under has hit in 7 of their last 10 home games, showcasing how difficult it is for teams to find the end zone against the Badgers at Camp Randall.

Final Verdict: Take the Under

With both teams struggling offensively and the likelihood of a slow-paced, grind-it-out game, Under 45.5 is the smart play here. Neither team is equipped to light up the scoreboard, and this should be a defensive slugfest.

Predicted Score: Wisconsin 24, Purdue 13.

Play the Under 45.5 and expect a low-scoring, defensive battle.