GAME TIME:
6:45:00 PM, September 28, 2024

SPORT/LEAGUE:
NCAA Football

TEAMS:
USA
LSU

PROP BET:
USA +22.5 (-110)

UNIT: 1.0

ANALYSIS:

LSU Tigers vs. South Alabama Jaguars: Betting Preview and Analysis

Pick: South Alabama + Points

Why South Alabama Can Cover

LSU has a significant home-field advantage under the lights of Tiger Stadium, but this matchup is shaping up to be a trap game. With a top-10 showdown against Ole Miss on the horizon, the Tigers could easily overlook a dangerous South Alabama squad that’s been lighting up the scoreboard.

• LSU’s Struggles Against the Spread: The Tigers haven’t covered in their last five games under QB Garrett Nussmeier, and the line may be inflated based on reputation rather than performance. Their inconsistency and defensive lapses make this a tricky spot for LSU backers.

South Alabama’s High-Octane Offense

• Explosive Scoring: South Alabama has been on a tear, scoring 135 points in their last two games and ranking 13th in the nation with 502 total yards per game. Their ground attack is a major strength, racking up 235 rushing yards per game at a robust 6.9 yards per carry.

• Gio Lopez Leading the Charge: Quarterback Gio Lopez has been in command, making smart decisions and keeping defenses off-balance. With a versatile offensive playbook, the Jaguars are capable of putting up points in a hurry.

LSU’s Potential Trap Spot

• Looking Ahead to Ole Miss: LSU might not be fully locked in on this matchup, with a top-10 SEC clash against Ole Miss just around the corner. This scenario often leads to flat performances and closer-than-expected games, making the large spread a potential overvaluation.

Final Verdict

This is the perfect opportunity to back an underdog in a high-profile game. South Alabama’s explosive offense combined with LSU’s lookahead spot makes South Alabama + Points a strong value play. Expect the Jaguars to keep this closer than expected and exploit LSU’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Results

Pick Made 8:30:00 AM, September 28, 2024