College Basketball Preview: Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Dayton Flyers
Game Details
- Date: December 14, 2024
- Time: 6:00 PM CST
- League: NCAA Basketball
- Location: Dayton, OH
Pick
- Point Spread: Dayton -1 (-104)
- Units: 2.0 WIN
Analysis
Why We’re Backing Dayton
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Home Dominance:
- Dayton is a perfect 7-0 straight up (SU) at home this season, showcasing their ability to protect their home court.
- The Flyers have won 23 consecutive games at home, building one of the strongest homecourt advantages in college basketball.
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Efficiency on Both Ends:
- The Flyers are shooting 60% inside the arc at home, making them one of the most efficient teams offensively.
- Dayton also protects the ball exceptionally well, limiting turnovers and maximizing possessions.
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Marquette’s Road Struggles:
- The Golden Eagles are playing only their third road game of the season and have struggled offensively on the road, shooting under 50% inside the arc.
- While Marquette is a balanced team, they lack a reliable long-range shooting presence, which could hurt them against Dayton’s strong perimeter defense.
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Experienced Guard Play:
- Dayton’s guards bring a wealth of experience, helping the Flyers excel in limiting opponents’ opportunities from beyond the arc. This defensive strength could be a key factor against Marquette’s inconsistent shooting.
Key Stats to Consider
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Dayton at Home:
- 60% shooting inside the arc.
- 23-game home winning streak.
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Marquette on the Road:
- Shooting below 50% inside the arc.
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Perimeter Defense:
- Dayton's guards effectively defend against three-point shooters, neutralizing one of Marquette’s offensive avenues.
Projected Outcome
- Score Prediction: Dayton 71, Marquette 66
- Why Flyers Cover: Dayton’s elite homecourt advantage and efficient offense give them the edge against a Marquette team that struggles to find consistency on the road.
Bet Summary
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Dayton -1 (-104)
Confidence Level: High. Dayton’s home dominance and matchup advantages make this a strong spot to back the Flyers.