GAME TIME:
11:00:00 AM, September 28, 2024
SPORT/LEAGUE:
NCAA Football
TEAMS:
Minnesota
Michigan
PROP BET:
Michigan -10 (-110)
UNIT: 1.0
ANALYSIS:
Michigan Wolverines vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: Betting Preview and Analysis
Pick: Michigan -10
Why Michigan Covers
Michigan’s defense is among the best in the nation, anchored by their dominant interior defensive line. With the nation’s top defensive tackle duo and a secondary led by Will Johnson, who’s expected to play, the Wolverines have the tools to shut down a Minnesota offense lacking explosive playmakers.
Key Factors
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Defensive Dominance: Michigan’s defense has been suffocating, allowing just 10.8 points per game. Minnesota simply doesn’t have the firepower to threaten a unit of this caliber. Expect the Wolverines to control the line of scrimmage and make the Gophers one-dimensional.
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Offensive Identity Restored: After a shaky start, Michigan’s offense is starting to find its identity. Despite question marks at quarterback with Alex Orji, the Wolverines have been effective on the ground, racking up 220 rushing yards per game. Even if Orji starts, Michigan’s one-dimensional attack should be more than enough against a Gopher team that’s struggled to defend physical running games.
Minnesota’s Offensive Struggles
The Golden Gophers have been pedestrian on offense, ranking near the bottom of the Big Ten in yards per game. They don’t have the dynamic athletes needed to challenge Michigan’s elite defense. Our simulations and metrics project Minnesota to score fewer than 10 points, making it difficult to keep the game within a 10-point spread.
Projected Score: Michigan 24, Minnesota 10
Michigan should be on cruise control, relying on their dominant defense and ground game to methodically wear down the Gophers. With the Wolverines expected to score at least three rushing touchdowns, look for a comfortable home win at the Big House.
Play Michigan -10 and watch their defense dictate the game. If you can find -9' for .10 juice we suggest buying the point here.
Results
Loss
Michigan 27 - Minny 24
Pick Made 8:30:00 AM, September 28, 2024