GAME TIME:
11:00:00 AM, October 19, 2024

SPORT/LEAGUE:
NCAA Football

TEAMS:
Auburn
Missouri

PROP BET:
Missouri - 4

UNIT: 1.0

ANALYSIS:

Missouri Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers: Betting Preview and Analysis

Pick: Missouri -4

Why We’re Backing Missouri

This line feels light, especially considering Missouri's form and Auburn's struggles. While Auburn is coming off a bye week, it’s one of the few advantages they have. Missouri, on the other hand, didn’t have much of a challenge in last week’s win over UMass, so they’ll come into this SEC matchup well-prepared. Missouri has been dominant against unranked teams, winning 11 straight games and scoring at least 30 points in each of their last nine such matchups.

Auburn's Struggles

Auburn is in a tough spot, having lost three straight games and tied for the worst turnover margin in the FBS at -11. The quarterback situation remains unresolved, and Coach Hugh Freeze is under mounting pressure. Auburn’s offense has been inconsistent, and without a reliable quarterback, it’s hard to see them keeping up with Missouri’s well-balanced attack. Auburn’s inability to protect the ball could be a key factor in this game, making it difficult for them to challenge Missouri’s defense.

Missouri’s Consistency and Scoring Power

Missouri has been a model of consistency against unranked teams, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against such opponents. They’ve also scored 30+ points in each of those games, and Auburn’s defense has shown vulnerabilities that Missouri is more than capable of exploiting. With leading rusher Nate Noel expected to return, Missouri’s offense will have even more firepower in this matchup.

Final Verdict: Play Missouri -4

Auburn’s struggles with turnovers and their ongoing quarterback issues make it hard to trust them in this game, even with the benefit of a bye week. Missouri has been dominant against unranked teams, and their defense is well-equipped to capitalize on Auburn’s mistakes. Expect Missouri to control the game and cover the -4 spread.

Predicted Score: Missouri 34, Auburn 14

Results

Pick Made 5:30:00 PM, October 18, 2024