Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: Betting Preview and Analysis
Pick: Cincinnati -4.5
Why We’re Backing Cincinnati
Arizona State will be without their starting quarterback Sam Leavitt, and the downgrade to backup Jeff Sims is significant. Sims, while experienced, hasn’t played much this season, logging just two pass attempts so far. This creates a major advantage for Cincinnati, particularly at the quarterback position, where they have a clear edge. Arizona State’s offense is bound to struggle without Leavitt leading the way.
Key Injury Impact: Sam Leavitt Out
Sam Leavitt had thrown for 1,166 yards and 8 touchdowns, while also serving as the Sun Devils' second-leading rusher. His absence is a major blow to Arizona State’s chances in this game. With Sims taking over, expect a drop in offensive efficiency due to his lack of reps this season. Despite Sims’ experience at Georgia Tech and Nebraska, he’s been rusty and hasn’t seen significant game action. This shift at quarterback has caused the spread to climb from around a field goal to Cincinnati -4.5.
Early Kickoff Advantage for Cincinnati
Another important factor in this game is the early kickoff. The noon start means Arizona State’s players will be playing at what feels like 9 a.m. for their body clocks. Historically, teams in this situation have not performed well. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is used to these noon kickoffs, having played their last three games at the same time. This gives the Bearcats a further edge, as Arizona State could struggle to adjust.
Cincinnati’s Superior Passing Attack
On top of the quarterback edge, Cincinnati’s passing attack is simply more efficient than Arizona State’s, especially with Leavitt out. The Bearcats’ offense has been solid, and they’re just four points away from being unbeaten this season. Cincinnati’s ability to move the ball through the air, combined with Arizona State’s injury issues, makes the Bearcats the clear pick.
Final Verdict: Play Cincinnati -4.5
With Arizona State missing their starting quarterback and facing a tough early kickoff on the road, Cincinnati holds significant advantages in this matchup. Jeff Sims’ inexperience and tendency to turn the ball over only strengthens the case for the Bearcats.
Predicted Score: Cincinnati 31, Arizona State 20
Play Cincinnati -4.5, as they are primed to capitalize on Arizona State’s struggles and win by more than a touchdown.