Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers: Betting Preview and Analysis
Pick: Chargers -3
Why We’re Backing the Chargers
The Denver Broncos may be riding a three-game win streak, but the context behind their recent success raises concerns. Last week’s blowout win against the Las Vegas Raiders could easily have gone the other way, as the Broncos were on the verge of going down two touchdowns until a job-costing pick-6 by Gardner Minshew flipped the game. This week, they face a much tougher opponent in the Los Angeles Chargers, who are coming off a bye and looking to end a two-game skid.
Chargers Ready to Rebound
The Chargers have the advantage of extra preparation time, and head coach Jim Harbaugh has a stellar track record coming off a bye week. Expect the Chargers to come into this game with a healthier Justin Herbert and key players like Joe Alt returning to action. This should give the Chargers a significant boost on both sides of the ball.
Limiting Denver’s Offense
Denver’s offense has been far from explosive, ranking 21st in yards per carry (4.1 YPC). They’ll likely struggle to run the ball effectively against a Chargers defense that has made significant improvements in stopping the run, ranking 4th in EPA per rush this season (a huge leap from 25th last season). The Chargers defense will focus on limiting the effectiveness of Bo Nix, who, as a rookie quarterback, has shown flashes of brilliance but is prone to the typical highs and lows.
Final Verdict: Play the Chargers -3
With the Chargers coming off a bye week, a rested and healthier roster, and a defense that should be able to contain Denver’s inconsistent offense, we’re confident in backing Los Angeles to cover -3. Denver’s recent win streak might give them some momentum, but the Chargers are hungry to bounce back from two straight losses, and this is the perfect spot to do it.
Predicted Score: Chargers 27, Broncos 20
Play Chargers -3, as they should take care of business at home and snap Denver’s winning streak.