GAME TIME:
7:20:00 PM, October 13, 2024

SPORT/LEAGUE:
NFL

TEAMS:
Cinn
NYG

PROP BET:
Cinn -3 (-125)

UNIT: 3.0

ANALYSIS:

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants: Betting Preview and Analysis

Pick: Bengals -3.5 (We are buying the hook for a cushion.)

Why We’re Backing Cincinnati

The Cincinnati Bengals have averaged an impressive 39 points per game over their last three outings, and while they’ve lost two of those games, their offensive firepower has been undeniable. The New York Giants, on the other hand, lack the offensive punch to keep up, especially with key players like WR Malik Nabers and RB Devin Singletary sidelined due to injuries. Additionally, Kayvon Thibodeaux, the Giants' top pass rusher, will also miss this matchup, giving Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow extra time in the pocket to carve up New York’s defense.

Key Matchups and Injuries

The Giants’ defense, already thin, faces a massive challenge against a Bengals offense that is finally finding its rhythm. Without Thibodeaux to generate pressure, Burrow should have plenty of time to exploit New York’s secondary. Burrow has a track record of bouncing back after tough losses, boasting a 16-7-1 ATS record following a loss. In fact, Burrow is also 23-11 ATS on the road, showing his ability to perform in tough away games.

Meanwhile, Daniel Jones has struggled in prime-time games, with a 1-14 SU record and 6-9 ATS in night games. Without key weapons like Nabers and Singletary, it’s hard to see the Giants matching Cincinnati’s offensive output.

The Giants’ Overvalued Market

There’s been some market optimism surrounding the Giants after their win over Seattle and competitive games in recent weeks. However, we believe it’s fool’s gold. The Giants have yet to prove they can keep up with high-powered offenses like the Bengals, especially without some of their best players. The public might be swayed by New York’s recent form, but their depleted roster and defensive issues will likely leave them exposed.

Bengals Desperation Mode

At 1-4, the Bengals are in desperation mode. Despite their record, Cincinnati could easily be sitting at 4-1, having let close games slip through their fingers against the Ravens, Chiefs, and Patriots. This matchup is a must-win for them, and with their offense finally clicking, we expect them to take full advantage of a struggling Giants team. Cincinnati has covered 6 of their last 7 games as road favorites, and we see them continuing that trend here.

Final Verdict: Play Bengals -3.5

With the Giants missing key players and the Bengals in desperation mode, this is a perfect spot for Cincinnati to get back on track. Joe Burrow has been fantastic in bounce-back situations, and with the Giants’ defense missing key contributors, we don’t see them keeping up offensively.

Predicted Score: Bengals 31, Giants 20

Play Bengals -3.5, as we expect Cincinnati’s offense to roll, while New York struggles to generate enough firepower to keep pace.

Pick Made 3:00:00 PM, October 13, 2024