GAME TIME:
12:00:00 AM, October 06, 2024

SPORT/LEAGUE:
NFL

TEAMS:
Carolina
Bears

UNIT: 1.0

ANALYSIS:

Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears: Betting Preview and Analysis

Pick: Bears -3

Why We’re Backing Chicago

The Carolina Panthers are coming into this matchup depleted on the defensive side of the ball, making it a perfect spot for the Bears to find their groove at home. Carolina has lost two of its top linebackers and could be without key defensive lineman Shy Tuttle, who has missed the last two games and remains questionable. With a defense already giving up 32.3 points per game and ranked in the bottom 5 for red-zone efficiency, the Panthers are set up for a long afternoon in Chicago.

Bears Defense Ready to Shine

• Top-5 Defensive Unit: The Bears boast a top-5 defense in the NFL when it comes to EPA (Expected Points Added) per play, and it should be on full display against a struggling Carolina offense. Despite some recent struggles, Chicago’s defense has been consistent at limiting explosive plays and can contain an offense lacking the firepower to threaten deep.

• Offensive Improvement Expected: While the Bears’ offense hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard, this game presents a prime opportunity for a breakthrough. The Panthers’ defense is not only porous, but now it’s also dealing with key absences. Look for Chicago to capitalize and get their receivers more involved against a thin Carolina secondary.

Panthers’ Defensive Woes

Carolina’s defense is riddled with injuries, especially at linebacker, where they’ve lost key starters including Shaq Thompson, their leading tackler. Their defensive struggles were highlighted in last week’s game when they failed to convert a critical fourth down at the goal line, which set the tone for another disappointing performance. With their defense ranking near the bottom in several key metrics, including 32.3 points allowed per game, Carolina is in for a tough time stopping Chicago.

Market Overreaction on Andy Dalton

The market has overreacted to the Panthers’ switch to Andy Dalton at quarterback, undervaluing Chicago at home. While Dalton is a serviceable veteran, he doesn’t elevate the offense significantly. The Bears, who are being viewed skeptically due to their offensive inconsistencies, should be closer to -6 favorites in this spot. A healthy Bears defense and a beat-up Carolina roster tilt the matchup in Chicago’s favor.

Final Verdict: Take Chicago -3, ML (optional play)

With the Panthers missing several key defenders and coming in as the NFL’s worst red-zone defense, the Bears should be able to score enough to cover the spread. Despite Caleb Williams’ playmaking ability, Carolina’s offense won’t be able to overcome its defensive issues. We like Chicago to win comfortably by 6+ points at Soldier Field.

Predicted Score: Chicago 27, Carolina 17

Play Bears -3.5 as they take advantage of a decimated Panthers defense and earn a solid home victory.

Results

Pick Made 10:00:00 AM, October 06, 2024