GAME TIME:
7:20:00 PM, September 05, 2024

SPORT/LEAGUE:
NFL

TEAMS:
KC
Baltimore

PROP BET:
KC - 3 (EVEN)

UNIT: 1.0

ANALYSIS:

We initially locked in the Kansas City Chiefs at -2.5 in the summer, and I still believe they’re a strong play at -3.

The defending Super Bowl champions might have a slightly weaker defense this year, but their offense has significantly improved. With Patrick Mahomes at the helm and a potent offensive lineup, the Chiefs are primed to exploit defenses, especially with their ability to stretch the field. Rice and the fastest man in the league rookie Xavier Worthy.

According to the latest stats from NFL.com, the Chiefs rank 3rd in total offensive yards and 1st in passing yards per game, showcasing their high-octane offense. This is particularly important against a Baltimore Ravens defense that’s integrating new pieces and a new defensive coordinator, which may lead to early struggles against top-tier quarterbacks like Mahomes.

Additionally, the Ravens have been hit hard by injuries, with several key starters unavailable for this matchup. This puts even more pressure on their already evolving defense.

The Chiefs have a history of performing well at home, especially in Arrowhead Stadium, where they’ve consistently demonstrated their strength. After their surprising loss to the Lions in the kickoff game last year, expect them to be highly motivated and focused this time around.

With Andy Reid having ample time to prepare and a motivated Chiefs squad aiming for a three-peat, we believe Baltimore will struggle to keep pace. Given that we rate the Chiefs as 5.5 points better than the Ravens, this line gives us a valuable opportunity. Play the Chiefs at -3 and watch them capitalize on their offensive firepower and home-field advantage.

KC - 3 (EVEN)

Results

Pick Made 2:30:00 PM, September 04, 2024