Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers: Betting Preview and Analysis
Pick: Falcons -5.5
Why We’re Backing Atlanta
The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup with a 3-2 record, but they could easily be 4-1 if not for a controversial no-call in their game against the Chiefs. Raheem Morris has done a tremendous job coaching the Falcons' defense, while Kirk Cousins has the Atlanta offense firing on all cylinders. The Panthers, on the other hand, are in disarray, with Andy Dalton coming off back-to-back below-average performances.
Atlanta’s Mini-Bye Week Advantage
The Falcons played on Thursday Night Football in Week 5, giving them a mini-bye week and extra preparation for this game. This additional rest should give Atlanta a significant edge, especially against a Carolina team that’s been struggling on both sides of the ball. Despite Carolina having home-field advantage, the extra time to prepare makes Atlanta the stronger play here.
Overhyped Underdog Trend
We’re not buying into the over-hyped trend of backing underdogs of +5 points in this spot. Carolina may have a slight edge being at home, but the Falcons have proven themselves as the more complete and disciplined team. Atlanta has covered the spread in four of their last six matchups against the Panthers, and we expect them to continue that trend with a convincing win.
Carolina’s Struggles with Dalton and Coaching
Any boost the Panthers initially got from switching to Andy Dalton at quarterback has faded. They haven’t covered the spread in their last two games after an early-season upset over the Raiders, and their offense has struggled to find consistency. Dalton hasn’t looked sharp, and Carolina’s run game, led by Chuba Hubbard, won’t be enough to keep this game close.
Additionally, Carolina’s head coach appears to be outmatched, and his staff lacks the experience to make the necessary adjustments. Atlanta’s defense is better than what it showed against the Buccaneers, and with extra rest, they’ll be ready to contain Carolina’s one-dimensional attack.
Final Verdict: Play the Falcons -5.5
With the Falcons coming off extra rest, a strong defense, and an offense led by a resurgent Kirk Cousins, we expect them to control this game. Carolina’s recent struggles, combined with their coaching issues, make it unlikely they’ll keep this within a touchdown.
Predicted Score: Atlanta 27, Carolina 17
Play Atlanta -5.5 as they should comfortably cover and continue their push for a strong start to the season.